← S5 店冠賽

Wind Crux LorraineTier 1

at S5 店冠賽

decks
3 (10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12 7-3-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.7% avg ELO +4.1 per match
expected value
53.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1473 · median 1449 · range 1435–1536 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1106 Q1 1241 Q3 1433 1536
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 10.0% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 41.6% -8.1
Water Genbu 10.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.0% +12.7
Wind Shadowstrike 10.0% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 6.7% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.7% -0.5
Fire Luxem Assassin 6.7% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 72.9% +17.1
Fire Suited 6.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.4% -12.2
Fire Suzaku 6.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.3% +6.8
Wind Luxem Zander 6.7% 0
Wind Seiryuu 6.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.5% +18.4
Fire Oblation 3.3% 0
Slimes 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.6% +2.6
Water Tera Cleric 3.3% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 3.3% 0
Wind Razorgale 3.3% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 3.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.6% -13.5
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 21 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 21 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion +1.00 1 0 0
Displace -1.00 0 1 0
Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace +1.00 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Heavenly Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Cry for Help +1.00 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes -1.00 0 1 0
Hurricane Sweep -1.00 0 1 0
Favorable Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Morgan, Soul Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Spirit Blade: Ascension +1.00 1 0 0
Incapacitate -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 1 0
Rally the Peasants -1.00 0 1 0
Longtail Grovesward +1.00 1 0 0
Rose, Eternal Paragon +1.00 1 0 0
Staggering Strike -1.00 0 1 0
Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Prismatic Edge +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/34734/archetypes/Wind Crux Lorraine